Good Morning BullBuzzers!
A good plan violently executed now is better than a perfect plan next week.”
⚡TODAY IN 10 SECONDS
Lula beat the market favorite in Brazil; U.S.-listed Brazilian stocks are gapping down 20% or more, and S&P 500 futures are up about 0.2% with the 10-year at 5% and Brent near $115.
Today’s idea is Bloom Energy ($BE), a power name that has washed out 45% from its high.
FOCUS OF THE DAY
Secret #7: Build A Process, Not Predictions
Friday, Polymarket and Kalshi priced Flavio Bolsonaro near 76% to win Brazil, and a Datafolha poll showed a tie. Lula won 51.78% to 48.22%, and the iShares Brazil ETF is down about 25% this morning.
Nobody who sized for the favorite was foolish; they were unprepared for the other 24%. A prediction gives you a direction. A process tells you what you lose if you are wrong before you act. Set size, exit, and reason before the event, not after the gap.
Find all 10 Secrets to Success at the bottom of today’s issue.
📰 HEADLINES
Lula wins, Brazil sells off. Lula took 51.78% of the vote to Flavio Bolsonaro’s 48.22%, a surprise against a market positioned for a Bolsonaro win. The Brazil ETF is down more than 24%, Petrobras about 21% and Nu about 25%, and Bolsonaro has not conceded.
(NPR, The Statesman, Investing.com)
The 10-year sits at 5% into Fed week. The Treasury par curve closed Friday at 5.00%, up 4 basis points, while Michigan sentiment came in at 48.0 with one-year inflation expectations up to 4.7%. The Fed is expected to hold Wednesday, but a December hike is priced near 75%.
(Capp Notes, Advisor Perspectives, Babypips)
Brent holds near $115 on unconfirmed Houthi claims. The Houthis say they hit Aramco’s Yanbu site and the Rabigh refinery, but Saudi Arabia has not confirmed damage. Brent settled Friday at $116.72, its highest close since April 29, and trades near $114.60 this morning.
(FinanceFeeds, Babypips, Capp Notes)
Musk warns of a neocloud shakeout. He said more than 200 neoclouds face consolidation as debt markets tighten, and CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN fell in early trading. CoreWeave’s five-year credit default swap sits at 1,129 basis points, above the 1,000 distress line.
(Seeking Alpha, TradingKey, Capp Notes)
Fed, Big Tech and PCE share one week. The Fed decides Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET and Microsoft and Alphabet report that night, among 176 S&P 500 companies this week. Amazon and Intel follow Thursday, alongside GDP and core PCE.
(Babypips, 24/7 Wall St, Capp Notes)
🎯 IDEA OF THE DAY
Bloom Energy makes solid-oxide fuel cells that power data centers on site, and reported record third-quarter revenue of $1.2 billion, up 138%.
Why this name. The neocloud warning is today’s loudest theme, and Bloom sits on the power side of it. It raised 2026 revenue guidance to $4.4 billion to $4.6 billion, yet fell 8.7% Thursday and 11.2% Friday to $193.30 because free cash flow turned negative $181 million. That leaves it about 45% under its $351.28 high, at the late July and August lows.
Beta is near 3.8, and the stock sits below its 50-day ($248) and 200-day ($219) averages, so one more neocloud credit scare could run it through the stop. It reported Oct 22, so no earnings binary sits in the window.
🔔 HEADING INTO THE OPEN
Bird’s-Eye: Futures are up about 0.2%, but the 10-year sits at 5.00%, Brent near $115, and Brazilian ADRs are down 20% or more. Stocks are rising on thin conviction into the Fed, so do not chase green. Wait for $SPY to hold $760 for 30 minutes.
Ground Level: Brazil is the loudest dislocation, with Nu, Petrobras and MercadoLibre gapping lower, while Friday’s tape rewarded energy (+2.6%) and punished staples (-1.9%). A panic gap in a real business is for watching, not blind buying. Let the first hour set a low.
Under the Hood: Verizon reports before the open, and Nucor, Cadence, and Welltower after the close. Tuesday brings Israel’s election, and the Fed decides Wednesday at 2:00 PM, with Microsoft and Alphabet that night. Cut anything you cannot hold through a hawkish press conference.
In partnership with
Institutional Partner. Cash-Flowing Real Estate. Your Opportunity.
Invest in single-asset private real estate opportunities alongside a $12B AUM owner/operator. Lightstone invests 20% or more of the equity in every offering, with a $100K minimum investment for accredited investors.
Any message that includes model/proforma/targeted figures need a disclosure at the end such as: "This communication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Any such offer or solicitation will be made exclusively through the definitive offering documents. All investments involve risk of loss, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Any targeted returns or projections are forward-looking statements, are based on current assumptions, and are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially.
For education only — not financial advice. BullBuzz™ by TRDR Media shares opinion and analysis, not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security. TRDR Media is not a registered investment adviser and does not manage or solicit funds. Trading and investing carry a substantial risk of loss and aren't suitable for everyone. Any prices, levels, or data may be delayed or estimated, and past results or prior calls don't guarantee future performance. You alone are responsible for your decisions. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading.
