Good Morning BullBuzzers!
"Every battle is won before it is fought."
🏆 BULLBUZZ SCOREBOARD
Idea of the Day Performance
$JETS (Jun 12): called $28.87 → tagged $31.32, ~+8% to target ✅
$ITA (Jun 15, defense fade): peace deal played out, worked directionally 🟢
$ITB (Jun 16, homebuilders): hawkish Fed hit it — wrong side 🔴
$IWM (Jun 17, "watch, don't predict"): correctly never triggered the long ✅
$XLF (Jun 18): just launched, TBD ⏳
Weekly Record: 3 Wins, 1 Loss, 1 Active
📅 THE WEEK THAT WAS
This week belonged to the Fed.
Markets entered Wednesday hoping for a softer tone and left with a reminder that rates may stay higher for longer. AI and growth stocks struggled, while financials and other rate beneficiaries held up better than expected.
Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions eased, oil continued to cool, and investors began rotating away from some of the market's hottest themes.
The biggest lesson? Macro still matters.
🧠 WHAT WE LEARNED THIS WEEK
Lesson #1: The first move after major news is often wrong.
Lesson #2: Chasing momentum gets expensive fast.
Lesson #3: Sector rotation matters more than stock picking when macro takes control.
Lesson #4: The best trade is sometimes patience.
🔭 BULLBUZZ WATCHLIST
RF Industries $RFIL — Provider of communications and connectivity infrastructure for data centers, telecom networks, and industrial applications.
Thesis: Revenue continues to grow, the company recently turned profitable, and it's generating positive free cash flow. If management can continue executing, RFIL could attract more attention as a small-cap infrastructure name trading at a reasonable valuation.
One Stop Systems $OSS — Designer of high-performance computing hardware used in AI, defense, and edge-computing applications.
Thesis: OSS is directly tied to the growth of AI computing demand. Revenue and margins are improving, and the balance sheet remains strong. The next step is proving it can consistently convert that growth into positive cash flow.
Nebius Group $NBIS — Cloud infrastructure and AI-compute provider helping businesses access the hardware needed to train and deploy AI models.
Thesis: Investors have spent the last year buying Nvidia. The next phase of the AI trade may be the companies supplying compute capacity and infrastructure around it. NBIS remains one of the more interesting second-derivative AI plays.
📰 HEADING INTO THE WEEK
The Fed had its say — now it's the data's turn. The big question heading into next week: does the economy actually confirm inflation is cooling, or does Warsh's "higher for longer" get even more ammo?
Bird's Eye: The headliner is PCE — the Fed's favorite inflation gauge — due late in the week. After two hot reports drove the hawkish turn, a cool PCE would back up the falling-oil story and take some heat off the hike talk; a hot one hands Warsh the mic all over again. And don't forget it's quarter-end (June 30 wraps up Q2), so expect some extra noise as funds reshuffle their books.
Ground Level: Watch whether the rotation sticks. Money's been sliding out of rate-sensitive groups (homebuilders, real estate, small caps) and into the higher-for-longer winners like financials. If the data stays hawkish-friendly, that move has legs — but if PCE comes in soft, the beaten-down rate trades could snap back fast.
Under The Hood: Bitcoin held its range straight through the Fed shock, which is genuinely impressive. The next test: can crypto and risk assets steady themselves into quarter-end, or do investors keep trimming? $60K is still the line in the sand.
BullBuzz Takeaway: Stop trying to outguess the Fed — they already told you where they stand. Next week is about whether the data backs up the "inflation's cooling" story, and watching where the money actually rotates. Follow the flows, not the forecasts.
💡 WEEKEND FOCUS #9: Review Losses Harder Than Wins
Most traders spend their weekends celebrating winners.
The best traders spend their weekends studying mistakes.
Winning trades teach confidence. Losing trades teach lessons.
The market doesn't care what worked last week. It only rewards those who adapt for next week.
BullBuzz Takeaway: Don't just ask what made money. Ask why.
🗓 WHAT’S AHEAD
🗣 COMMUNITY MOVERS
Retail's still dip-buying. True to form, the crowd kept scooping the beaten-down AI names — Nvidia, Nebius — through the Fed shock. Conviction in the AI buildout isn't cracking.
SpaceX is the saga that won't quit. The $60B Cursor acquisition pushed $SPCX past Amazon's market cap — still the loudest ticker on the boards, and the clearest sign retail's appetite for the space/AI story is alive.
The pros are positioning for PCE. Fintwit's real debate: is the AI-momentum trade done or just resting? Money keeps drifting toward the rate-winners (financials), and everyone's bracing for Thursday's inflation print.
🎲 PREDICTION MARKETS
The hike bet is sticking. Even after the Fed held, ~58% of bettors think the next move is a hike, not a cut — and the July 29 meeting alone carries a ~32% hike chance. The "higher for longer" reality is now priced in, not hoped away.
The Iran trade has been resolved. The peace deal we tracked all week was formally signed on Friday in Geneva, and the market that doubted it for months is now ~90% it holds through year-end. The geopolitical overhang that drove oil — and inflation fears — is officially lifting.
Crypto's still leaning bearish. ~62% odds Bitcoin dips to $60K, with the hawkish Fed and a strong dollar keeping the pressure on after BTC slipped to ~$63.9K. Watch the $60K line into quarter-end.
(Odds move, and prediction markets aren't legal everywhere — context, not advice.)
🧠 BULLBUZZ'S 10 SECRETS TO SUCCESS
Master Yourself Before The Market
Respect The Macro Tape
Follow The Money Into Sectors
Look Beyond The Obvious
Trade The Theme, Not Just The Ticker
Adapt Or Get Left Behind
Build A Process, Not Predictions
Never Stop Studying The Market
Review Losses Harder Than Wins
Think Like A Risk Manager
😂 MEME OF THE DAY
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For education only — not financial advice. BullBuzz™ by TRDR Media shares opinion and analysis, not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security. TRDR Media is not a registered investment adviser and does not manage or solicit funds. Trading and investing carry a substantial risk of loss and aren't suitable for everyone. Any prices, levels, or data may be delayed or estimated, and past results or prior calls don't guarantee future performance. You alone are responsible for your decisions. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading.